Document Type : Original Article

Authors

• Mahmoud R. Shiravand
• mahtab ebadati
• Pooria Poorahad A.

Faculty of Civil, Water, and Environmental Engineering Shahid Beheshti University Tehran, Iran

Abstract

Structural reliability analysis (SRA) is associated with complex calculations and large number of simulations. In this paper, machine learning (ML) methods are integrated with SRA to reduce the overall intricacy and computational cost of direct SRA methods, such as the Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) method. An SRA is conducted in this paper on post-tensioned concrete members under the influence of prestress loss, and their reliability indices are obtained through the MCS method. The results of the SRA are used to create a database for data fitting of the ML algorithms. The algorithms are compared to find the most accurate ML model to be applied on the problem at hand. For the SRA, different stochastic parameters with specified probabilistic distributions are considered for the numerical models, and nonlinear dynamic analyses are conducted on them. Using the labeled data resulted from the SRA, five ML algorithms are compared; (i) linear regression, (ii) random forest, (iii) artificial neural network, (iv) k-nearest neighbors, (v) extreme gradient boosting. R-squared and root mean squared error are considered as the metrics used for the comparison of the ML models. Bayesian search is used for hyperparameter optimization of algorithms. The performance of the linear regression algorithm (R2=0.67 and RMSE=0.26) indicates that the SRA problems are highly nonlinear and linear algorithms cannot precisely map the relationships in data. However, the results show that extreme gradient boosting has the finest accuracy with R2=0.9 and RMSE=0.04. Additionally, its predicted values mostly have relative errors of less than ±30%.

Keywords

• artificial intelligence
• machine learning
• supervised learning
• structural reliability analysis

Main Subjects

• Artificial Intelligence, Robotics, Cognitive Computing